Alpha

🇺🇸🇺🇦 A joint US-Ukrainian recovery investment fund has secured its first deal in critical minerals extraction alongside four other projects. Approximately $30 million is set to be invested in a platform with Ukraine's BGV Group for developing deposits. The initial focus will be on early-stage mineral extraction projects across Ukraine, working with rare earth metals, uranium, beryllium, and zirconium deposits. — RTRS

⚠️ Western countries are developing plans to relocate embassies from Kyiv if the security situation worsens, reports The Guardian. Diplomatic missions might move to Lviv or Eastern Poland. "The situation is clearly deteriorating rapidly," said one diplomat. Meanwhile, Poland is accelerating preparations for war, creating a legal framework to avoid bureaucratic delays in case of a sharp escalation.

⚠️ The head of the International Energy Agency predicts a global rise in inflation due to a surge in diesel fuel prices.

⚠️ The Trump national security team held extensive talks on Iran and Yemen, as reported by Axios. Trump reiterated that the conflict will conclude one way or another right after the midterm elections, predicting a drop in oil prices. In Iran, there is an expectation of a resurgence in significant hostilities in November following the U.S. congressional midterm elections.

⚠️ Flydubai Incident Suspected as Terror Attempt — UAE Attorney General A Flydubai aircraft incident is being treated as a potential terror attempt. The co-pilot involved was an Omani national with radical extremist views. Israeli leader Netanyahu suggested the possibility of an "Iranian connection" in the unfolding story.

🚨🇺🇸🇷🇺🇺🇦 US-Russia negotiations regarding Ukraine have expanded to include a multi-billion dollar oil deal associated with Trump allies. The agreement is expected to benefit Middle Eastern executives linked to American negotiators Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. American financier Todd Boehly is advocating for the deal concerning overseas assets of Lukoil. The US administration aims to finalize this agreement with Moscow to demonstrate its commitment to revitalizing bilateral relations. -- NYT

🚫🛢️🇪🇺 Miller predicts a harsh autumn and winter for Europe due to record low gas reserves.

🚨 Russian forces will continue to carry out retaliatory strikes against Ukraine, as stated by the Russian Foreign Ministry in a warning to foreigners and diplomats. Meanwhile, Russian military actions have reportedly targeted a foreign-flagged vessel in the port of Odessa, according to Ukrainian port authorities.

🚫🛢🇸🇦 A new facility of Aramco in Riyadh has been attacked. Witnesses report seeing a large column of smoke and flames rising from the site.

🚨 In Britain, train services are being canceled due to a bedbug infestation. The unexpected outbreak has prompted authorities to take immediate action, disrupting travel plans for many passengers. For more details, visit РЕНТВ.

✨ October has historically been a strong month for BTC. Throughout its history, BTC has closed October in the red only three times. -- CNBC

🚨🇪🇺🇷🇺 More than 20 Finnish lawmakers have reported unauthorized entries into their restrooms, where unknown individuals leave lights on and fail to flush, according to the Neue Zürcher Zeitung. Journalists allege that Russian intelligence services are behind the incidents. Finland's Prime Minister termed Moscow's involvement as "quite plausible," suggesting such tactics aim to create chaos and intimidate politicians ahead of upcoming elections. The capital police are investigating the incidents.

⚠️🛢️ Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Ukraine will intensify attacks on Russian oil refineries in response to strikes on its bridges. In an interview with RTRS, he emphasized the need for a robust response to the ongoing conflict. Zelensky's comments highlight the escalating tensions between Ukraine and Russia in the energy sector as the war continues to impact critical infrastructure.

⚠️🇮🇷 Iran is preparing for the largest attack from the United States, according to BBG. The situation continues to escalate as tensions rise between the two nations. For more details, visit here.

🚨🇺🇦 Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced in an interview with RTRS that the FP-9 ballistic missile, capable of reaching Moscow, will be ready by this fall. The Wall Street Journal reports that Ukraine is now among the 12 countries that can produce ballistic missiles.

⚠️🇺🇦 Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has urged former President Donald Trump to block the Russian satellite communication system "Rassvet," which is said to be a counterpart to Starlink. This request highlights ongoing concerns regarding geopolitical tensions between Ukraine and Russia. For more details, visit FT.

🌍 Key Events This Week: Monday, October 5: - China: No trading - National Day - Australia: Services/Composite PMI (Sept) - 02:00 MSK - Japan: Services/Composite PMI (Sept) - 03:30 MSK - Russia: Services/Composite PMI (Sept) - 09:00 MSK - Turkey: CPI (Sept) - 10:00 MSK - Germany: Services/Composite PMI (Sept) - 10:55 MSK - Eurozone: Services/Composite PMI (Sept) - 11:00 MSK - UK: Services/Composite PMI (Sept) - 11:30 MSK - Russia: Central Bank currency purchases/sales - 12:00 MSK - Eurozone: PPI (Aug) - 13:00 MSK - Brazil: Services/Composite PMI (Sept) - 16:00 MSK - Canada: Services/Composite PMI (Sept) - 16:30 MSK - USA: S&P Services/Composite PMI (Sept) - 16:45 MSK - USA: ISM Services PMI (Sept) - 17:00 MSK Tuesday, October 6: - China: No trading - National Day - India: Services/Composite PMI (Sept) - 08:00 MSK - Japan: Central Bank Governor Ueda - 09:35 MSK - USA: ADP Employment (week) - 15:15 MSK - USA: Trade Balance (Aug) - 15:30 MSK - USA: Short-term oil market forecasts - 19:00 MSK - USA: API Oil Stocks - 23:30 MSK Wednesday, October 7: - China: No trading - National Day - India: Central Bank Rate - 07:30 MSK - Germany: Industrial Production (Aug) - 09:00 MSK - USA: EIA Oil Stocks - 17:30 MSK - USA: 1-Year Consumer Inflation Expectations, NY Fed (Sept) - 18:00 MSK - Russia: CPI (week) - 19:00 MSK - USA: FOMC Minutes - 21:00 MSK Thursday, October 8: - Eurozone: ECB Minutes - 14:30 MSK - UK: Bank of England Governor Bailey - 15:15 MSK - USA: Initial Jobless Claims - 15:30 MSK - USA: EIA Natural Gas Stocks - 17:30 MSK Friday, October 9: - USA: Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Oct preliminary) - 17:00 MSK - USA: Consumer Inflation Expectations (Oct preliminary) - 17:00 MSK - Russia: CPI (Sept) - 19:00 MSK - USA: WASDE Report - 19:00 MSK

🚨 Ukraine's President Zelensky announced that new negotiations involving Ukraine, Russia, and the United States may take place at the end of October. For more details, visit RBK Ukraine.

🚨🛢️🇸🇦 Yemeni forces supported by Saudi Arabia have launched an operation aimed at reclaiming areas controlled by the Houthi movement, according to BBG. This military initiative marks a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict in Yemen, as these forces seek to establish dominance in regions currently held by the Houthis. Further developments are anticipated as the operation unfolds.