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The 1.44 total fertility rate (TFR) recorded in 2023 represents the lowest historical level on record since 1938 for England and Wales. This statistic published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) highlights a major demographic shift, moving significantly below the 2.1 replacement rate required to maintain a stable population without immigration.The data has since been updated by the ONS Births Bulletin, which shows that the TFR dropped even further to 1.41 children per woman in 2024.
In 2025, the average Total Fertility Rate (TFR) for England and Wales fell even further to a provisional 1.39 children per woman.
Key ONS Data for 2025
Total Births Decline: Live births dropped to 585,396. This is a 1.6% decrease from 2024.
Wider 2025 International Trends
The trend of shrinking fertility rates in 2025 was mirrored globally across other developed economies:
Germany: The German Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) reported that Germany's TFR dropped 2.7% to 1.32 children per woman, resulting in their lowest post-war birth count on record.
United States: The U.S. fertility rate also declined to a provisional record low in 2025, continuing a downward trajectory that has been steady since 2007.
Singapore: Experienced an incredibly steep drop, with its resident TFR plummeting to 0.87.