The Macro Butler
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Having declared himself "the house," ‘Scrooge’ Bessent proceeded to show his hand: a $6 billion cap on 20-to-30-year buybacks, against a $10 billion whisper number. Wall Street EYIs had warned that anything below $7 billion would bring sellers, and the market obliged within minutes — 10-year yields jumping four basis points to 4.85%. Consider the scale: $6 billion against more than $2 trillion of annual issuance is roughly a thimble bailing a bathtub, and the arithmetic is blunter still — about 0.001% of outstanding debt, staged to manage what Bessent himself calls "damaging narratives." That phrase deserves framing. The Treasury is no longer managing the debt; it is managing the story about the debt. The structural point lands harder: Treasury bills now total some $6.99 trillion with long bonds barely 13% of the stack, which flatters today's interest expense and hands tomorrow a rollover at whatever rate the world demands.
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