5 September 2026
Mbugua FxФотография
🔤🔤🔤 4️⃣
TRENDLINE
A trendline is one of the simplest yet most effective tools for identifying market direction and momentum.
In an uptrend, a trendline is drawn through Higher Lows (HL). When price reacts and bounces from the trendline multiple times, it shows that buyers are still maintaining control.
In a downtrend, the trendline is drawn through Lower Highs (LH). If price repeatedly retests the trendline and gets rejected, it can indicate that sellers are still in control.
However, don’t enter a trade just because price touches the trendline. A trendline break does not always mean the trend has reversed. Wait for confirmation from market structure, liquidity, and price rejection before making a trading decision.
💡 QUICK TIP:
Don’t force a trendline through every small swing on the chart. Focus on clear, significant, and easy to identify swings. The cleaner the trendline and the more logical reactions it has, the more useful it becomes for determining your bias and building a trading plan.
16 September 2026
Фотография
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VIP LESSON 3 COMMON SWING MISTAKES
Knowing Swing High → Swing Low is easy.
Choosing the correct swing on a real chart is where many traders make mistakes.
Inside VIP, Luccy will show you 3 common situations where Fibonacci is often drawn incorrectly:
Choosing a minor swing instead of the main move → Fib measures the wrong price leg.
Starting Fib from the wrong Swing High / Swing Low → All retracement levels become misleading.
Redrawing Fib every time price moves → You lose the original market structure and start chasing price.
For each example:
You choose the Swing → Luccy corrects it → Luccy explains WHY.
The goal is not just to learn how to draw Fibonacci.
The goal is to know WHICH SWING is worth measuring.
GOLD. Buy NOW 4346
🎯TP 1 4350
🎯TP 2 4354
🎯TP 3 4358
🎯TP 4 4366
❌SL 4334
60 · Mbugua FxGOLD. Buy NOW 4346
🎯TP 1 4350
🎯TP 2 4354
🎯TP 3 4358
🎯TP 4 4366
❌SL 4334
Фотография
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Gold buy from 4346
Tp 1 complete ✅✅✅
40 pips profit Done ✅
63 · 17 September 2026
Mbugua FxGOLD. Buy NOW 4287
🎯TP 1 4298
🎯TP 2 4304
🎯TP 3 4310
🎯TP 4 4317
❌SL 4275
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GIF
2.mp4 · 166 KB · click to show
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Gold buy from 4287
Tp 1 complete 💯✅✅
110 PIPS PROFIT DONE ✅
65 · 20 September 2026
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XAUUSD has broken the descending channel to the upside
However, Gold’s recovery remains partly limited by rising US Treasury yields. Investors are also watching the possibility of another Federal Reserve rate increase at its next meeting. Comments from Fed officials, upcoming employment figures, and fresh business activity data could play an important role in deciding Gold’s next direction.
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EURUSD reached the retest area of the broken descending triangle pattern
Energy-market uncertainty also played an important role. Oil prices initially declined after efforts were made to restore damaged supply routes. However, concerns surrounding Middle East supplies prevented a deeper fall. This renewed pressure on energy costs and kept global inflation risks elevated.
Both the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank are watching these developments closely. While the Fed has adopted a more aggressive policy position, the ECB has also shown that it is prepared to respond if rising energy costs create another wave of inflation across the Eurozone.
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GBPUSD reached the retest area of the broken descending triangle pattern
Fresh reports about reduced Saudi oil supplies to European buyers raised fears that energy costs could remain elevated. This development quickly changed market sentiment because expensive energy can affect inflation, economic growth, business costs, and household spending.
The United Kingdom is particularly sensitive to changes in global energy markets because it imports a significant amount of its energy. When oil and gas costs rise, companies often face higher transportation and production expenses. Consumers may also pay more for fuel, heating, food, and other everyday products.
As a result, the encouraging retail sales report was not enough to keep Sterling firmly supported. Investors became more cautious as they considered how another energy shock could complicate the outlook for the UK economy.
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USDJPY moved higher at the end of the week as the Japanese Yen faced strong selling pressure. The decline came even after the Bank of Japan raised interest rates to their highest level in more than three decades. USDJPY is moving in a descending channel
At first glance, the Yen’s weakness may seem surprising. Higher interest rates often support a country’s currency because they can make local assets more attractive to global investors. However, currency markets usually react to future expectations rather than decisions that traders already expect.
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USDCAD is breaking the higher low area of the ascending channel
A stronger US Dollar usually places upward pressure on USDCAD because the pair measures the value of the Greenback against the Canadian Dollar. However, the movement remained controlled as recovering Oil prices provided support to the Canadian currency.
The Canadian Dollar often reacts to changes in the energy market because Canada is one of the world’s major Oil-producing nations. When Oil prices recover, expectations of stronger export income can improve demand for the Canadian currency. This relationship helped prevent USDCAD from making a larger advance.
As a result, traders are balancing two important forces. The US Dollar is receiving support from the Federal Reserve’s firm policy outlook, while the Canadian Dollar is benefiting from renewed strength in the Oil market.
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USDCHF reached the higher high area of the ascending channel
The decline appeared to reflect position adjustment rather than a major change in market sentiment. Traders often close part of their profitable positions before the weekend, especially after a currency pair has recorded a notable weekly move. This helps them protect their gains and reduce exposure to unexpected developments when markets are closed.
Despite Friday’s retreat, USDCHF remained on course to record its fourth consecutive weekly gain. The broader advance has been driven mainly by weakness in the Swiss Franc, supported by growing differences between the monetary policies of the Federal Reserve and the Swiss National Bank.
The US Dollar has also benefited from expectations that American interest rates could stay elevated for an extended period. Although short-term profit-taking may create temporary pressure, the fundamental outlook continues to favor the US currency over the Swiss Franc.
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AUDUSD reached the retest area of the broken ascending channel
The latest remarks from RBA Governor Michele Bullock and Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser suggest that the Australian central bank is not ready to declare victory over inflation. Although previous interest rate increases are still affecting the economy, officials remain uncertain whether the current policy setting will be enough to bring inflation back to the desired level within a reasonable period.
At the same time, the US Dollar continues to receive support from expectations that the Federal Reserve may deliver another rate increase before the end of the year. This has created a difficult environment for AUDUSD, with both currencies benefiting from firm monetary policy expectations.
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EURJPY is rebounding from the retest area of the broken ascending channel
The reaction suggests that traders were expecting a stronger signal from the Bank of Japan. The rate increase itself was widely anticipated, so attention quickly shifted toward the details of the decision, the level of support among policymakers, and the central bank’s willingness to continue tightening monetary policy.
Governor Ueda attempted to reassure markets by expressing confidence in Japan’s economic recovery. He also indicated that further rate increases could be introduced if economic growth and inflation continue to develop in line with the bank’s expectations. However, internal disagreement among committee members weakened the overall impact of his message.
As a result, EURJPY remained firm and headed toward a strong weekly performance. The currency pair benefited from broad Yen weakness as investors questioned whether the Bank of Japan could maintain a steady path of monetary tightening.
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AUDJPY is rebounding from the retest area of the broken ascending channel
At the same time, the Australian Dollar received support from growing expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia may continue raising borrowing costs. Persistent inflation, geopolitical uncertainty, and concerns about future price pressure have kept the possibility of another Australian rate increase firmly in focus.
The different market reactions to the two central banks created favorable conditions for AUDJPY. Japan delivered a rate hike that investors had already anticipated, while Australia continued to signal that further action may be needed to control inflation.
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Crude Oil is breaking the higher low area of the ascending channel
Fresh reports about an alternative Saudi Arabian export route have offered some relief to the energy market. At the same time, China is reportedly increasing diplomatic pressure on Iran to limit the actions of Yemen’s Houthis around important shipping routes.
However, the wider situation remains highly uncertain. Continued attacks, regional tensions, and restrictions around key waterways are preventing Oil prices from falling sharply. Traders remain focused on whether diplomatic efforts can protect global energy flows or whether the conflict will create further disruption.
A Small Lesson About Liquidity
One thing I always tell traders: don’t just look at where price is going, look at where the liquidity is
You’ll often see price take out a previous high or low and then suddenly move back in the opposite direction
Why?
Because there are usually a lot of Stop Losses and pending orders around these obvious levels
For example, if everyone can see the same high, many traders may place their Stop Loss just above it Price can push above that high, take the liquidity, and then reverse
That’s what we call a Liquidity Sweep.
So before taking a trade, I like to ask myself:
• Where is the liquidity?
• Has price taken it already?
• Did we get a proper rejection?
• Is the market structure confirming the move?
Don’t rush the entry. Let the market show you what it wants to do first
The more you understand liquidity, the better you’ll understand price action.
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