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MatrixAINetwork_Trade_EN

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12 August 2026
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Sercan Matrix_AI
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💵USDT.D | Rising Wedge Formation in Higher Timeframe (HTF) USDT.D is currently trading around 8.41% and continues to move within a rising wedge formation. It is also approaching the key resistance zone between 8.8% and 9.1%. From a technical perspective, this structure is becoming increasingly open to a downward breakout. 🔑 Level to Watch: 8% The most important level here is the 8% region. If a strong close below 8% occurs in the HTF, this could be considered a confirmation of weakness and could pave the way for a drop in USDT.D first to 6.24%, then to 5%. A drop in USDT.D could support a renewed increase in risk appetite in the crypto market. This is because there is generally an inverse relationship between USDT dominance and BTC and other crypto assets. ⚠️ Where Does the Bearish Scenario Become Invalid? However, a close above 9.36% of any HTF candle would invalidate the bearish scenario, as it would indicate an upward breakout of the current resistance structure. Key Levels 🔴 Invalidation level: 9.36% 🟡 Resistance: 8.8%–9.1% 🟡 Breakout level: 8% 🟢 Targets: 6.24% → 5% This is technical analysis only. It is not investment advice (NFA).
13 August 2026
Sercan Matrix_AI
🇺🇸 The SEC is paving the way for the integration of blockchain technology into Wall Street stocks! The "Clarity Act" is currently pending in the Senate. To avoid missing out on innovations, SEC Chairman Paul Atkins is working to quickly implement new mechanisms. - Major tech stocks like Apple and Nvidia will have token versions that operate directly on the blockchain. - Trading platforms will offer 24/7 trading instead of traditional opening/closing hours. - These security tokens will be traded on platforms with less extensive and stricter registration requirements compared to the old system.
📊 ETF FLOW ON AUGUST 12 2026 Results: 💰 BTC Spot ETFs 👉 Outflow of -$61.1M 🤍 ETH Spot ETFs 👉 Inflow of + $7.4M 🪙 SOL ETF 👉 0
😆🤑 Market Key Developments for the This Week 🗓 Thursday, August 14 🇺🇸 US Producer Price Index (PPI) (Monthly) (July) 15:30 Expected: 0.2% Previous: -0.3% 🇺🇸 US Jobless Claims 15:30 Expected: 202K Previous: 199K 🌐 FOMC Member Barkin's Speech 15:40
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🪙 The outlook for BTC in the High Timeframe (HTF) remains bearish. The price was rejected after failing to break above the $82.8K resistance and the ChoCH level, confirming a bearish BOS. Now, the $71K–$74.5K region stands out as a strong supply/retest zone where the Bearish Order Block (OB) and FVG intersect. Unless BTC regains the $82.8K level with an HTF close, upward movements are more accurately considered corrections rather than uptrends. ⬇️ If it falls below $59.8K, the next significant liquidity target will be the $50K region.
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🌐 Fed member Hammack: Interest rates need to be raised immediately.
14 August 2026
Sercan Matrix_AI
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Bitcoin is currently below Strategy's support zone! As Michael Saylor stated a few weeks ago, the weekly MA200 will be a very important level. This is also one of the key indicators determining Strategy's trend. Currently, Bitcoin has completed its daily close and is below the MA200 zone. However, the difference is only a few hundred dollars. Gold has risen back to the 4,450 region, and the S&P 500 is constantly breaking new highs. Is it really that difficult for Bitcoin to just respect the MA200 level? 😂
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🧨 MSCI has revived its threat to delist MicroStrategy and Metaplanet from its indices. MSCI is considering delisting companies whose operations are based on continuously raising capital to accumulate investment assets rather than on their core business model. For example, companies that buy Bitcoin or other crypto assets by continuously issuing bonds/stocks could fall under this category. ⚠️ Companies at risk of delisting: - MicroStrategy (MSTR) - Yellow Cake - Metaplanet 👀 Under review: SharpLink, which manages ETH treasury, and similar companies Note: This proposal is still under consultation and has not yet been officially approved. 📅 Expected timeline: September 30: Deadline for consultation and discussion October 16: Expected announcement of official results November: Possibility of implementation of the decision in the next Index Review. It is stated that this news had a significant impact on Bitcoin's sudden drop from 126K to 80K last October, a drop of almost $50,000.
🇯🇵 Will the BOJ raise interest rates next month? According to Tokyo Tanshi data, 74% of the market expects the BOJ to raise interest rates at its September meeting. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's government also indicates support for bringing forward the BOJ's rate hike. The main reason for this is the long-term depreciation of the Japanese Yen. A weaker Yen increases import prices, raising inflationary pressure across the economy. USD/JPY is currently at 159-160. If this happens, it will be the third rate hike in just 12 months since Takaichi became prime minister. This would also be the fastest tightening of monetary policy in Japan since the peak of the asset bubble in 1989. In the last two BOJ rate hikes: 19/12/2025: Bitcoin was in the 80-94K region. 16/06/2026: Bitcoin was in the 74-82K region. 👉 When the BOJ raises interest rates, the Yen Carry Trade effect kicks in again, and the most noticeable consequence in the crypto market is a sharp decline. ❗️This post is for informational purposes only and is not investment advice.
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📊 ETF FLOW ON AUGUST 13 2026 Results: 💰 BTC Spot ETFs 👉 Outflow of -$131.1M 🤍 ETH Spot ETFs 👉 Inflow of +$5.9M 🪙 SOL ETF 👉 0
Sercan Matrix_AI
🛟🪆🪢🥮Daily Market Analysis, August 14 Band Tested, But Not Broken BTC has retreated back towards the $63,000 region. Giving back its previous rise towards $64,000, Bitcoin has returned to the lower end of its recent trading range. There isn't a single, dominant crypto-specific catalyst behind this move. Instead, digital assets are facing several different pressures simultaneously: - High geopolitical risk - Rising oil prices - Uncertainty regarding global liquidity - Limited sustainability despite generally supportive macroeconomic data from the US The latter point is becoming increasingly important. Last week, BTC showed resilience by absorbing many negative news items without experiencing a sustainable break. This week, however, has made the difference between resistance and momentum clearer: The trading range is still being maintained, but lower inflation data has so far only generated a limited reaction in the crypto market. For now, the $62,500–$63,000 region remains the lower end of the recent trading range. Whether this range will be maintained will increasingly depend on the interaction of macroeconomic data, liquidity conditions, and asset-specific money flows. Inflation Cools, BTC Remains in a Sideways Band This week's US inflation data provided further evidence that price pressures continue to ease. Headline CPI fell to 3.4% year-on-year in July, down from 3.5% in June. Core CPI also fell from 2.6% to 2.5%. Producer prices also came in lower than expected. Headline PPI showed no change in July after a 0.3% decrease in June. The market had expected a 0.2% increase. The inflation data followed the significantly weaker-than-expected employment report released in July. The report showed a 23,000 decrease in non-farm payrolls and downward revisions to data for the previous two months. When these data are considered together, it appears that the market has reduced its expectations of tightening monetary policy in the near term. However, inflation is
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Hormuz Talks Continue, Oil Remains High Geopolitical uncertainty is another factor putting pressure on markets. Oman-led talks continue to establish a framework for commercial passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Qatar and Pakistan are also involved in the broader US-Iran mediation process. While progress has been made on potential maritime transport arrangements, the full and permanent reopening of the strait is not yet guaranteed. This uncertainty is also reflected in energy markets. Brent crude traded at around $88 on Friday morning and is poised for a strong weekly rise due to limited shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and the lack of a lasting agreement. From a crypto perspective, the key transmission channel is macroeconomic impacts. Sustained increases in energy prices can affect headline inflation, inflation expectations, and long-term bond yields. All of these directly impact the financial conditions of liquidity-sensitive assets. Until physical oil transportation returns to a more stable normal state, the Strait of Hormuz issue is primarily significant for the crypto market in terms of oil, interest rates, and global liquidity. Seasonality Provides Context, Not Direction The calendar also offers a historical perspective on the current price movement. According to Bespoke Investment Group data, the historical median August return for BTC is approximately -7.5%. The percentage of periods with positive returns is approximately 30%. September also tends to be a historically weaker month; the median decline is approximately 5.3%. BTC recorded negative returns in every August between 2022–2025. However, historical seasonality is descriptive, not predictive. The structure of the crypto market has changed significantly, particularly with the emergence of ETFs and higher institutional participation. Nevertheless, it offers a useful perspective on how lower liquidity at the end of summer can coincide with decreased trading activity and increased se
15 August 2026
Sercan Matrix_AI
🇺🇸 Next week could be quite critical for the crypto market! First, the Crypto Summit will be held on Wednesday. Donald Trump has confirmed his participation, along with executives from the SEC and CFTC, as well as Coinbase, Ripple, a16z, Chainlink, Paradigm, and Kalshi. Then, on Thursday, the CFTC's Innovation Committee meeting will take place. This first-ever meeting will be attended by the CEOs of Coinbase, Robinhood, Kalshi, and Polymarket. 👉 The direct exchange of views between leading political figures and strict regulatory bodies like the SEC and CFTC with key players in the crypto sector could determine the market's direction in the coming period and pave the way for significant developments that could break the long period of sideways movement!
📊 ETF FLOW ON AUGUST 14 2026 Results: 💰 BTC Spot ETFs 👉 Outflow of -$57.63M 🤍 ETH Spot ETFs 👉 0 🪙 SOL ETF 👉 0
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🪙 BITCOIN MARKET STATUS Here’s What Watching Right Now: 1️⃣ Supply In Loss 2️⃣ NUPL 3️⃣ Fund Holdings 4️⃣ Renko Structure 5️⃣ 50D SMA 6️⃣ 4th Halving Anchored VWAP + 2.1σ Bands 7️⃣ ATH Anchored VWAP 8️⃣ 2nd Lower High Anchored VWAP 9️⃣ Current Price 🔟 Open Interest These 10 Metrics Together Give A Much Clearer Picture Of BTC’s Current Market Structure.
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BITCOIN We're only talking about three years from now. There's a strong possibility that BTC could trade above $250,000–$300,000 by then.
☢️ TRUMP: I will declare the Strait of Hormuz American territory very soon.
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🏦 Fed Rates Outlook 2026 No change: 68.8% probability Upcoming Fed Decisions 🗓 September : No change (74.5%) 🗓 October : No change (71.5%) 🗓 December : No change (67.5%) 🗓 January : No change (61.5%)
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