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PostThe optimistic one says the survey is noise and the till is truth. The other notes that these are nominal dollars in a m…

16 September 2026
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The Macro Butler
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The optimistic one says the survey is noise and the till is truth. The other notes that these are nominal dollars in a month when energy costs surged — when prices rise 6% and sales rise 6%, the shopping basket hasn't grown, only the receipt. July's weakness came from higher-income households trimming discretionary spending, so the strength is narrow as well as inflated.
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