PostBecause to be frank, while a reddendum in Lebanon would be in favor of not accepting normalization with Israel, a refere…

Because to be frank, while a reddendum in Lebanon would be in favor of not accepting normalization with Israel, a referendum in Lebanon would be in favor of disarming Hezbullah. The Shia alone are the ones with enough political wit and understanding to know the importance of this power and what it presents. What many seem to forget, is that power was what liberated south Lebanon to conclude an 18 year long occupation. It was power that liberated the prisoners in 2008 after a costly war, and it this particular costly war that gave Lebanon 18 years of unpreceded peace unwitnessed since the Lebanese state was created in 1940's. Everyone seems to forget these 2 decades. The only difference today, is that Israel is at the height of its strength and has abandoned its old doctrines and is now facing a much inferior enemy than it did months ago. Will not discuss the legitimacy of resistance nor the war. The legitimacy is inherit and the war is discussed in the hyperlinked threads below. The last covers the present and the future that we are in now. https://t.me/LebUpdate/49218 (this thread and attached links) Do read them, they are very useful and I do find the points that they make great debate points that cannot be refuted by any anti-resistance people. What I want to focus on is: does diplomacy actually ensures Lebanon's safety and what is the change in the doctrine of the Israeli army. In terms of doctrine, I'll set aside the spectacular and efficient changes in the Israeli military doctrine that has shaped its warfare and made it a much more efficient fighting force that even without the mishaps faced by Hezbullah, it would have demonstrated a very high-end military performance. The recent changes in the doctrine are about Israel itself and how it perceives threats and it only is akin to the operation in 1982, as an example, where Israel assumed that the basis of its security extended from securing the border to assuming that eliminating the core threat on statewide is the path for Israel. The "Galilee peace" operation stretched the from areas that can be a threat to the Galilee to areas as far as Beirut until they expelled the Palestinians from Lebanon. See while the IDF did not reach Tyre let alone Beirut in this operation (2024), the depth of the damage they caused reached farther. However the damage was not intended to win the war only, but to ensure that there will be no threat again. That concept of ensuring there is no threat, is what we have witnessed for years in the West Bank, where the IDF would pre-emptively arrest youth and place them under administrative detention not because they broke the law, but because they can be classified as youth who could in the future become a threat. So the IDF decided to arrest them. This behavior started there (at a large scale), however there was another behavior that started in the West Bank and we would later see at a much wider scale in Lebanon and Gaza, and it is the demolition of houses and towns. There, the IDF would demolish the house of a resistance fighter that killed an Israeli. The demolition is considered collective punishment because the house in most cases belongs to several other family members With no one to stop this behavior, the IDF implemented it as core project in the invasion of Lebanon and Gaza in 2023-2024. The only difference is, in Gaza the strip was destroyed as a collective punishment for 7-Oct and to ensure the Palestinians have no were to go in preparation of Trump's 2025 plan for mass exodus. Where as in Lebanon, the goal was to create a buffer zone where locals are unable to return homes for years, and ensure Hezbullah cannot come back because without the locals, Hezbullah does not exist. This is in regards to the demolishment, however the equivalent of administration detention in the new doctrine in the elimination of threats through creating a new set of rules on the ground that dictate a new threat is not allowed to emerge in the future. This is the same motto from the West Bank but covers now countries and whole organizations.