Lebanese News and Updates
All Hamas and Hezbullah will ever do is ensure that the Palestinian state is not lost, and it ist here duty to continue on this path because betraying this path is not betraying a land, but betraying righteousness and is a reason for humiliation on earth and then punishment by God in the hereafter.
It is clear enough for all, how complicated it will be to manage the above, and how hard it will be to actually execute. To rebuild you need training camps that are compromised to the IDF who is attacking even in Beqaa. How can you send 40-60 teens and men there to train. Building weapons need smuggling that is lost because Syria is lost, and manufacturing is going to be complicated because not only is machinery and dual use material not easy to import and is mostly banned by Lebanon long ago, you need infrastructure that is prone to being attached by the IDF once exposed.
This is why, the loss of deterrence after this war that was fortified by the weak Lebanese state's stance on the thousands of Israeli violations has compromised the post-war efforts to rebuild and weakened hezbullah's ability to navigate the 1701. As you can see now, the challenges are great, and as we have noticed so far, President Aoun and Nawaf Salam are working to appease the West and namely the U.S by building on the loss of deterrence by Hezbullah and its compromise in Lebanon.
This internal compromise was aggravated by the loss of support from the Lebanese Free Patriotic Movement that refused to cooperate and has been leaning closer to the US despite preserving a national sovereign stance. Nabih Berrir's loyalty the Shia has preserved the unity of Amal and Hezbullah, but the Shia alone are not able to protect themselves and the resistance because their numbers do not translate to state power. Being at 33-40% of Lebanon, Shia do not get any major leadership role in the state that can challenge a President or a PM. They neither get the president seat, or Minister of Defense, or interior ministry, or Central Bank governor, or army commander, etc etc. You get the point here.
This is important because for long, Hezbullah was able to navigate being a resistance without causing repercussions on the Lebanese state. Hezbullah will carry the burden alongside the Shia community that has carried immense burdens, while the Lebanese state will stay intact. No U.S sanctions, EU financial aid, no Arab boycotts, etc. This allowed both to have separates path that do not cross or clash. They have made this possible through all EU and US adminstrations, even Trump's first term and made it work. Yet Aoun and Nawaf are more enthusiastic about the anti-Hezbullah rhetoric that they are willing to take steps no president or PM before them did.
I dont know where this confidence is from, but Nawaf was a pro 14-March party (google it) advocate and Aoun betrayed his leader Michel Aoun and is from the Army. Army officers are mostly arrogant, although they have no real achievements for an army, it is a trait they have and an ego. I come from a family with many Lebanese soldiers and officers, and I can tell you, its a prestige. But also, these soldiers and officers are not always pro the polticis of the leadership and anti_Hezbullah. On the contrary, but at the end of the day this is a job and has its privileges. No soldier or officer is there to defend his country or die for it. They are there for a payroll, health insurance, and pension. Officers are there for the prestige, drivers, housing, perks, and fat pension.
So to conclude this part, we can say that Aoun and Nawaf are not bluffing this anti-Hezbullah rhetoric to 18-Feb to appease the US and Israel so they can withdraw and then everything is back to normal. It is clear they have some sort of personal goals to achieve a legacy and this is going to be at the expense of the Lebanese resistance. Aoun is here for 6 years, but Nawaf is here only Temp until the elections in 2026. He is unlikely to stay the PM because Hariri is back and will secure a decent support that will make him the #1 favorable PM.
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