Lebanese News and Updates
Hariri does not mind Aoun, but it is unclear how Hariri is going to treat Hezbullah. Funny that, despite all, Hezbullah still have their hand extended to them, hoping they cooperate for the better good for all. And I still believe that Aoun and Nawaf allowed Hezbullah to join the government as a trap to gain legitimacy to the actions that they will take. Hezbullah and Amal dont have the minister majotiry to stop anything, and their presence there will give legitimacy to any gov decision.
So far, i cannot asses that the gov and president will do. But how they enforce their anti-hezb policy and the disarming of "all non-state actors" will be what will shape out future. Will they put the state's resource to spy on Hezbullah, raid their weapons manuf sites and depos, arrest their trainers in camps, etc etc. The army and other security forces have good intel on Hezbullah, training camps are known, and routes are known. You get the point.
Btw do you know, that part of the intelligence the Lebanese state has gathered on Hezbullah has been fed to the Israeli intelligence machine unknowingly and has had a toll on Hezbullah during the war?
Honestly all i want now to go to my village, look at this damn mountain and enjoy the scenery while knowing we are not at risk. But this world is evil, and will always be, and there is not going to be any rest until we die. We the normal people wont rest, so imagine those who will be tasked with rebuilding our resistance and protecting out existence.
No need to elaborate here about the hate the many Lebanese have harbored for the Shia and the lies they made and believed. They have blurred the lines between political difference and enemy-hood. They see us as aliens who they want crushed and killed, yet we see them as political foes who have been misguided by hate.
On the other side, let's talk about the Israeli challenge. The loss of deterrence that we spoke of had many reasons but wont discuss now, but in simple words that i once used is that because the victory in this war was survival the deterrence was not one because this victory was a matter of life and death. There as no leverage in it, the Israeli accomplished historical goals, and you only won your survival against all odds. This victory is shy, and one that does not carry enough momentum. This was translated in the weak implementation of the clear ceasefire deal that the IDF violated non-stop without repercussions. Although it was clear, the U.S favoring of Israel and the lack of Lebanese army's will in light of the lack of the political echelon's courage has had its toll.
Do you know that the number of houses demolished during the ceasefire is in the thousands or tens of thousands? That cost is on who to blame? The IDF demolished a family and friend's house, even ones that are still under construction for the sole reason that they are close to the border or can be seen from the Israeli sides. The damage caused in these 3 months are 100x folds the damage caused in the 14 month war. Naqoura was destroyed during the ceasefire and not the war.
When i speak of loss, i speak how the Lebanese army entered Naqoura on 26-Nov then retreated allowing the IDF to enter a town they did not enter during the war. Do you understand how bad the humiliation there is here? This and many towns that the IDF entered during the ceasefire and not the war. Then there is the matter of airstrikes and assassination, even today's in Sidon against Hamas. These are grave violations of the ceasefire and the Lebanese state failed to tackle them accordingly. You know well how many attacks, no need to elaborate more here.
That, and now the IDF has decided to stay in 5 Lebanese hills that compromise south Lebanon, violating the most clear term of the ceasefire deal that was signed by both parties when Lebanon was bombarded to rubble.
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